Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 3?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$44,461 ปริมาณ
$44,461 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$44,461 ปริมาณ
$44,461 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
7°C or below
$3,130 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$2,466 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$5,544 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$2,711 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$2,436 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$8,806 ปริมาณ
Yes
13°C
$6,099 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$4,722 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$3,297 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,070 ปริมาณ
No
17°C or higher
$3,182 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,461วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,461วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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