Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Jakarta on April 22, driven by confirmed peak observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—reaching exactly 35°C in the mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and low wind speeds favoring solar heating. This aligns with Jakarta's urban heat island effect amplifying temperatures beyond BMKG's conservative 30°C forecast, consistent with recent days' 35–35.6°C highs at the same station during April's transitional climatology from wet to dry season. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from residual heat or official data revision, but diurnal cooling patterns and finalized reports expected soon make higher outcomes negligible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 22?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 22?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$56,504 ปริมาณ
$56,504 ปริมาณ
Apr 22, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$56,504 ปริมาณ
$56,504 ปริมาณ
Apr 22, 2026
27°C or below
$500 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$502 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$4,937 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,895 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$3,801 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$3,210 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$7,513 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$9,132 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$12,397 ปริมาณ
Yes
36°C
$5,972 ปริมาณ
No
37°C or higher
$5,644 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Jakarta on April 22, driven by confirmed peak observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—reaching exactly 35°C in the mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and low wind speeds favoring solar heating. This aligns with Jakarta's urban heat island effect amplifying temperatures beyond BMKG's conservative 30°C forecast, consistent with recent days' 35–35.6°C highs at the same station during April's transitional climatology from wet to dry season. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from residual heat or official data revision, but diurnal cooling patterns and finalized reports expected soon make higher outcomes negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,504วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Jakarta on April 22, driven by confirmed peak observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—reaching exactly 35°C in the mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and low wind speeds favoring solar heating. This aligns with Jakarta's urban heat island effect amplifying temperatures beyond BMKG's conservative 30°C forecast, consistent with recent days' 35–35.6°C highs at the same station during April's transitional climatology from wet to dry season. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from residual heat or official data revision, but diurnal cooling patterns and finalized reports expected soon make higher outcomes negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,504วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Jakarta on April 22, driven by confirmed peak observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—reaching exactly 35°C in the mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and low wind speeds favoring solar heating. This aligns with Jakarta's urban heat island effect amplifying temperatures beyond BMKG's conservative 30°C forecast, consistent with recent days' 35–35.6°C highs at the same station during April's transitional climatology from wet to dry season. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from residual heat or official data revision, but diurnal cooling patterns and finalized reports expected soon make higher outcomes negligible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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