**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur's September 17 high temperature remains tightly clustered because multiple forecast models converge on typical equatorial conditions near the long-term September average of roughly 32°C.** Current guidance from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and WeatherBug points to a daytime peak between 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the region's monsoon-influenced climate where afternoon convection often limits extreme heating. Historical data show September highs averaging 31–33°C, with occasional peaks near 35–36°C when skies clear longer or urban heat-island effects amplify insolation. Key differentiating factors among the 30–35°C outcomes include the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms (earlier or heavier rain caps the maximum via evaporative cooling and reduced solar input), variations in low-level moisture and wind from the southwest monsoon, and model spread in boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities nearly even across 30–35°C (18.5–20%), markets price genuine short-term uncertainty in convective initiation and cloud evolution rather than a directional bias. Fresh model runs and Malaysian Meteorological Department updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 17?
33°C 53%
32°C 28%
34°C 24%
31°C 20%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
28%
33°C
53%
34°C
17%
35°C
13%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 28%
34°C 24%
31°C 20%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
28%
33°C
53%
34°C
17%
35°C
13%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur's September 17 high temperature remains tightly clustered because multiple forecast models converge on typical equatorial conditions near the long-term September average of roughly 32°C.** Current guidance from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and WeatherBug points to a daytime peak between 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, consistent with the region's monsoon-influenced climate where afternoon convection often limits extreme heating. Historical data show September highs averaging 31–33°C, with occasional peaks near 35–36°C when skies clear longer or urban heat-island effects amplify insolation. Key differentiating factors among the 30–35°C outcomes include the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms (earlier or heavier rain caps the maximum via evaporative cooling and reduced solar input), variations in low-level moisture and wind from the southwest monsoon, and model spread in boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities nearly even across 30–35°C (18.5–20%), markets price genuine short-term uncertainty in convective initiation and cloud evolution rather than a directional bias. Fresh model runs and Malaysian Meteorological Department updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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