**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 ปริมาณ
$81,305 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 ปริมาณ
$81,305 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
28°C or below
$15,524 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$5,144 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,764 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,913 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$3,073 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,359 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$3,675 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$17,138 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$15,458 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$8,021 ปริมาณ
No
38°C or higher
$2,238 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,305วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,305วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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