Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 21?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 21?
41°C 100.0%
38°C or below <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$74,142 ปริมาณ
$74,142 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
38°C or below
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
38°C or below <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$74,142 ปริมาณ
$74,142 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
38°C or below
$6,104 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$9,667 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$7,896 ปริมาณ
No
41°C
$16,164 ปริมาณ
Yes
42°C
$9,528 ปริมาณ
No
43°C
$6,774 ปริมาณ
No
44°C
$3,556 ปริมาณ
No
45°C
$1,895 ปริมาณ
No
46°C
$8,935 ปริมาณ
No
47°C
$2,019 ปริมาณ
No
48°C or higher
$1,606 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74,142วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74,142วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 21, 2026, backed by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data and forecast models projecting exactly that peak amid ongoing heatwave conditions in Uttar Pradesh. Clear skies, low humidity around 15-30%, and dry soils enabled strong daytime radiative heating, with the airport station forecasting 41.0°C and current evening readings at 35°C (19:30 IST) confirming the maximum has passed without exceeding it—consistent with yesterday's 41.6°C. Historical April norms near 38°C underscore the anomalous warmth driven by persistent high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges, though improbable this late, include station-specific measurement variances or unforecast gusts altering late-afternoon peaks; final IMD confirmation expected tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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