Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a return of seasonably warm conditions across the Northeast, with New York City forecast to reach the low-to-mid 90s on July 14 under mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 92–95°F because NYC’s coastal location introduces key uncertainty from sea-breeze timing and marine-layer depth, which can shave 2–4°F off peak readings if onshore flow strengthens by afternoon. Differentiating the 96–97°F versus 92–93°F bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing, residual mid-level moisture that could limit insolation, and the precise strength of warm-air advection ahead of any weak frontal passage. Historical July climatology supports highs near 85°F, so current above-average guidance reflects the post-heat-wave pattern, with latest model runs and official updates expected to narrow resolution odds by midday July 13.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on July 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 14?
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 33%
92-93°F 8.1%
98-99°F 7.6%
ใหม่
$37,956 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$37,956 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
8%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 33%
92-93°F 8.1%
98-99°F 7.6%
ใหม่
$37,956 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$37,956 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
87°F or below
$7,796 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$3,221 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$3,711 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$2,997 ปริมาณ
8%
94-95°F
$8,079 ปริมาณ
33%
96-97°F
$4,354 ปริมาณ
51%
98-99°F
$3,342 ปริมาณ
8%
100-101°F
$2,239 ปริมาณ
1%
102-103°F
$1,568 ปริมาณ
<1%
104-105°F
$410 ปริมาณ
<1%
106°F or higher
$257 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a return of seasonably warm conditions across the Northeast, with New York City forecast to reach the low-to-mid 90s on July 14 under mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 92–95°F because NYC’s coastal location introduces key uncertainty from sea-breeze timing and marine-layer depth, which can shave 2–4°F off peak readings if onshore flow strengthens by afternoon. Differentiating the 96–97°F versus 92–93°F bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing, residual mid-level moisture that could limit insolation, and the precise strength of warm-air advection ahead of any weak frontal passage. Historical July climatology supports highs near 85°F, so current above-average guidance reflects the post-heat-wave pattern, with latest model runs and official updates expected to narrow resolution odds by midday July 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,956วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a return of seasonably warm conditions across the Northeast, with New York City forecast to reach the low-to-mid 90s on July 14 under mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 92–95°F because NYC’s coastal location introduces key uncertainty from sea-breeze timing and marine-layer depth, which can shave 2–4°F off peak readings if onshore flow strengthens by afternoon. Differentiating the 96–97°F versus 92–93°F bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing, residual mid-level moisture that could limit insolation, and the precise strength of warm-air advection ahead of any weak frontal passage. Historical July climatology supports highs near 85°F, so current above-average guidance reflects the post-heat-wave pattern, with latest model runs and official updates expected to narrow resolution odds by midday July 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,956วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a return of seasonably warm conditions across the Northeast, with New York City forecast to reach the low-to-mid 90s on July 14 under mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 92–95°F because NYC’s coastal location introduces key uncertainty from sea-breeze timing and marine-layer depth, which can shave 2–4°F off peak readings if onshore flow strengthens by afternoon. Differentiating the 96–97°F versus 92–93°F bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing, residual mid-level moisture that could limit insolation, and the precise strength of warm-air advection ahead of any weak frontal passage. Historical July climatology supports highs near 85°F, so current above-average guidance reflects the post-heat-wave pattern, with latest model runs and official updates expected to narrow resolution odds by midday July 13.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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