Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 16?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,991 ปริมาณ
$19,991 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,991 ปริมาณ
$19,991 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
21°C or below
$452 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$433 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$791 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$743 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,680 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,398 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$6,134 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$4,376 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$536 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$462 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$986 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,991วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,991วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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