Diverging ensemble forecasts from major models create the near-even split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes for Cape Town's minimum on September 26. Southerly winds ahead of a possible cold front, combined with scattered showers and variable cloud cover, introduce uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 10°C under clearer conditions, yet recent spring patterns show occasional warmer advection; current runs indicate a likely range of 13–16°C at official stations. Traders price the extremes highest because small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could push readings either way before resolution. Fresh ECMWF and GFS updates plus South African Weather Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 26?
20°C or higher 92%
10°C or below 88%
13°C 40%
11°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
10°C or below
88%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
40%
14°C
24%
15°C
24%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C or higher
92%
20°C or higher 92%
10°C or below 88%
13°C 40%
11°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
10°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
88%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Diverging ensemble forecasts from major models create the near-even split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes for Cape Town's minimum on September 26. Southerly winds ahead of a possible cold front, combined with scattered showers and variable cloud cover, introduce uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 10°C under clearer conditions, yet recent spring patterns show occasional warmer advection; current runs indicate a likely range of 13–16°C at official stations. Traders price the extremes highest because small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could push readings either way before resolution. Fresh ECMWF and GFS updates plus South African Weather Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Diverging ensemble forecasts from major models create the near-even split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes for Cape Town's minimum on September 26. Southerly winds ahead of a possible cold front, combined with scattered showers and variable cloud cover, introduce uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 10°C under clearer conditions, yet recent spring patterns show occasional warmer advection; current runs indicate a likely range of 13–16°C at official stations. Traders price the extremes highest because small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could push readings either way before resolution. Fresh ECMWF and GFS updates plus South African Weather Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Diverging ensemble forecasts from major models create the near-even split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes for Cape Town's minimum on September 26. Southerly winds ahead of a possible cold front, combined with scattered showers and variable cloud cover, introduce uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 10°C under clearer conditions, yet recent spring patterns show occasional warmer advection; current runs indicate a likely range of 13–16°C at official stations. Traders price the extremes highest because small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could push readings either way before resolution. Fresh ECMWF and GFS updates plus South African Weather Service guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย