Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Austin project a high near 98°F on September 26 under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the prevailing warm late-summer pattern, where recent daily maxima have reached the mid-to-upper 90s amid weak steering currents and no significant frontal passages. Trader positioning, with 96-97°F at 35.5% implied probability and adjacent bins near 20%, reflects this tight clustering around mid-90s readings while acknowledging typical short-range forecast spread from boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 26?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 26?
92-93°F 37%
90-91°F 30%
94-95°F 23%
96-97°F 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
87°F or below
5%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
23%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
6%
106°F or higher
5%
92-93°F 37%
90-91°F 30%
94-95°F 23%
96-97°F 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
87°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
92-93°F
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
94-95°F
$3 ปริมาณ
23%
96-97°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
98-99°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
100-101°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
106°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Austin project a high near 98°F on September 26 under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the prevailing warm late-summer pattern, where recent daily maxima have reached the mid-to-upper 90s amid weak steering currents and no significant frontal passages. Trader positioning, with 96-97°F at 35.5% implied probability and adjacent bins near 20%, reflects this tight clustering around mid-90s readings while acknowledging typical short-range forecast spread from boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Austin project a high near 98°F on September 26 under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the prevailing warm late-summer pattern, where recent daily maxima have reached the mid-to-upper 90s amid weak steering currents and no significant frontal passages. Trader positioning, with 96-97°F at 35.5% implied probability and adjacent bins near 20%, reflects this tight clustering around mid-90s readings while acknowledging typical short-range forecast spread from boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus for Austin project a high near 98°F on September 26 under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the prevailing warm late-summer pattern, where recent daily maxima have reached the mid-to-upper 90s amid weak steering currents and no significant frontal passages. Trader positioning, with 96-97°F at 35.5% implied probability and adjacent bins near 20%, reflects this tight clustering around mid-90s readings while acknowledging typical short-range forecast spread from boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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