Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as GFS point to a September 26 high in the low-to-mid 60s°F across New York City, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage, combined with widespread cloud cover and a 50-70% chance of showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions contrast with the late-September climatological average high near 73°F, explaining why market-implied odds cluster on 64-67°F bins. Minor forecast spread arises from exact timing of any partial clearing or rain intensity, though consensus across agency guidance keeps probabilities for 68°F or higher low while supporting the observed trader positioning on mid-60s outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on September 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 26?
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 21%
60-61°F 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
5%
76°F or higher
4%
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 21%
60-61°F 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
57°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
58-59°F
$100 ปริมาณ
5%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
66-67°F
$24 ปริมาณ
30%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
70-71°F
$3 ปริมาณ
8%
72-73°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
76°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as GFS point to a September 26 high in the low-to-mid 60s°F across New York City, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage, combined with widespread cloud cover and a 50-70% chance of showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions contrast with the late-September climatological average high near 73°F, explaining why market-implied odds cluster on 64-67°F bins. Minor forecast spread arises from exact timing of any partial clearing or rain intensity, though consensus across agency guidance keeps probabilities for 68°F or higher low while supporting the observed trader positioning on mid-60s outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 3:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as GFS point to a September 26 high in the low-to-mid 60s°F across New York City, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage, combined with widespread cloud cover and a 50-70% chance of showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions contrast with the late-September climatological average high near 73°F, explaining why market-implied odds cluster on 64-67°F bins. Minor forecast spread arises from exact timing of any partial clearing or rain intensity, though consensus across agency guidance keeps probabilities for 68°F or higher low while supporting the observed trader positioning on mid-60s outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 3:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as GFS point to a September 26 high in the low-to-mid 60s°F across New York City, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage, combined with widespread cloud cover and a 50-70% chance of showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions contrast with the late-September climatological average high near 73°F, explaining why market-implied odds cluster on 64-67°F bins. Minor forecast spread arises from exact timing of any partial clearing or rain intensity, though consensus across agency guidance keeps probabilities for 68°F or higher low while supporting the observed trader positioning on mid-60s outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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