Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models indicate a daily minimum near 19–21°C on September 26 amid the early arrival of Huaxi autumn rain, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating overnight cooling. This setup aligns with historical September climatology, where average lows range 18–20°C, though persistent rain and northeasterly flow could suppress temperatures toward the lower end while limiting radiative cooling that might otherwise produce warmer nights. Trader consensus around 22°C reflects model agreement on these dynamics, tempered by uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late shifts in steering patterns that could alter the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 26?
22°C 45%
21°C 40%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
45%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 40%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
45%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models indicate a daily minimum near 19–21°C on September 26 amid the early arrival of Huaxi autumn rain, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating overnight cooling. This setup aligns with historical September climatology, where average lows range 18–20°C, though persistent rain and northeasterly flow could suppress temperatures toward the lower end while limiting radiative cooling that might otherwise produce warmer nights. Trader consensus around 22°C reflects model agreement on these dynamics, tempered by uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late shifts in steering patterns that could alter the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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