Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely settle near 8–10°C under building high pressure and light southerly winds that favor modest overnight radiative cooling after a daytime high around 16°C. Traders' near-even split between sub-3°C and 12°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind speeds, which can shift minimums by several degrees. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical lows of 7–9°C, providing context for why current guidance avoids extremes. Final resolution will hinge on official Russian meteorological observations, with the next major model update cycle expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 26?
12°C or higher 98%
3°C 40%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
40%
4°C
40%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C or higher
98%
12°C or higher 98%
3°C 40%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
2°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
3°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
4°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
12°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely settle near 8–10°C under building high pressure and light southerly winds that favor modest overnight radiative cooling after a daytime high around 16°C. Traders' near-even split between sub-3°C and 12°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind speeds, which can shift minimums by several degrees. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical lows of 7–9°C, providing context for why current guidance avoids extremes. Final resolution will hinge on official Russian meteorological observations, with the next major model update cycle expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely settle near 8–10°C under building high pressure and light southerly winds that favor modest overnight radiative cooling after a daytime high around 16°C. Traders' near-even split between sub-3°C and 12°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind speeds, which can shift minimums by several degrees. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical lows of 7–9°C, providing context for why current guidance avoids extremes. Final resolution will hinge on official Russian meteorological observations, with the next major model update cycle expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely settle near 8–10°C under building high pressure and light southerly winds that favor modest overnight radiative cooling after a daytime high around 16°C. Traders' near-even split between sub-3°C and 12°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind speeds, which can shift minimums by several degrees. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical lows of 7–9°C, providing context for why current guidance avoids extremes. Final resolution will hinge on official Russian meteorological observations, with the next major model update cycle expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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