Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 16?
33°C 31%
35°C or higher 27%
34°C 26%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
15%
33°C
31%
34°C
26%
35°C or higher
27%
33°C 31%
35°C or higher 27%
34°C 26%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$559 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$306 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$309 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$85 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$127 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$179 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$146 ปริมาณ
31%
34°C
$211 ปริมาณ
26%
35°C or higher
$181 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,474วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,474วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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