Trader consensus on the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F brackets for San Francisco’s July 14 high reflects uncertainty in marine-layer evolution and onshore flow strength, per National Weather Service guidance. Typical July climatology favors highs near 70°F when persistent stratus and cool Pacific air dominate, but recent model runs indicate a thinning marine layer could allow partial afternoon clearing and modest warming to the mid-70s. Key variables include wind direction shifts that either reinforce or weaken coastal cooling, plus any residual warmth from inland heat advected westward. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service show Monday–Tuesday peaks near 77°F before a cooldown, highlighting how small changes in cloud timing or breeze can shift the daily maximum across the leading brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 14?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,948 ปริมาณ
$99,948 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,948 ปริมาณ
$99,948 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
71°F or below
$2,615 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$7,315 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$8,300 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$8,754 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$11,845 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$11,767 ปริมาณ
Yes
82-83°F
$11,440 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$12,439 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$10,182 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$8,714 ปริมาณ
No
90°F or higher
$6,576 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F brackets for San Francisco’s July 14 high reflects uncertainty in marine-layer evolution and onshore flow strength, per National Weather Service guidance. Typical July climatology favors highs near 70°F when persistent stratus and cool Pacific air dominate, but recent model runs indicate a thinning marine layer could allow partial afternoon clearing and modest warming to the mid-70s. Key variables include wind direction shifts that either reinforce or weaken coastal cooling, plus any residual warmth from inland heat advected westward. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service show Monday–Tuesday peaks near 77°F before a cooldown, highlighting how small changes in cloud timing or breeze can shift the daily maximum across the leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99,948วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F brackets for San Francisco’s July 14 high reflects uncertainty in marine-layer evolution and onshore flow strength, per National Weather Service guidance. Typical July climatology favors highs near 70°F when persistent stratus and cool Pacific air dominate, but recent model runs indicate a thinning marine layer could allow partial afternoon clearing and modest warming to the mid-70s. Key variables include wind direction shifts that either reinforce or weaken coastal cooling, plus any residual warmth from inland heat advected westward. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service show Monday–Tuesday peaks near 77°F before a cooldown, highlighting how small changes in cloud timing or breeze can shift the daily maximum across the leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99,948วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F brackets for San Francisco’s July 14 high reflects uncertainty in marine-layer evolution and onshore flow strength, per National Weather Service guidance. Typical July climatology favors highs near 70°F when persistent stratus and cool Pacific air dominate, but recent model runs indicate a thinning marine layer could allow partial afternoon clearing and modest warming to the mid-70s. Key variables include wind direction shifts that either reinforce or weaken coastal cooling, plus any residual warmth from inland heat advected westward. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service show Monday–Tuesday peaks near 77°F before a cooldown, highlighting how small changes in cloud timing or breeze can shift the daily maximum across the leading brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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