AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on June 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 7?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$79,809 ปริมาณ
$79,809 ปริมาณ
Jun 7, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$79,809 ปริมาณ
$79,809 ปริมาณ
Jun 7, 2026
28°C or below
$2,871 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$3,016 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$4,914 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$18,685 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$15,898 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$14,134 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$9,077 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$4,196 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$6,480 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$379 ปริมาณ
No
38°C or higher
$158 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,809วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,809วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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