PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on April 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 24?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,029 ปริมาณ
$42,029 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,029 ปริมาณ
$42,029 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
29°C or below
$1,500 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,408 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,662 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$4,365 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$5,511 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$5,112 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$4,805 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$7,560 ปริมาณ
Yes
37°C
$4,840 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$3,491 ปริมาณ
No
39°C or higher
$1,774 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,029วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,029วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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