PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on April 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 29?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 ปริมาณ
$43,646 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 ปริมาณ
$43,646 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
30°C or below
$1,149 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,191 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$2,807 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$2,724 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$3,882 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$1,710 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$6,589 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$8,962 ปริมาณ
Yes
38°C
$7,446 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$1,940 ปริมาณ
No
40°C or higher
$5,247 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,646วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,646วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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