Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on June 26?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 26?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,746 ปริมาณ
$86,746 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,746 ปริมาณ
$86,746 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
26°C or below
$28,094 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,663 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$7,454 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$14,322 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$6,763 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$13,815 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$4,659 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,039 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$2,924 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$1,571 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$1,444 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$86,746วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$86,746วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย