Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 21?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 21?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,816 ปริมาณ
$78,816 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,816 ปริมาณ
$78,816 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
17°C or below
$2,557 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,973 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$2,562 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,419 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,666 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$4,294 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$9,152 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,271 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$5,607 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,496 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$34,819 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,816วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,816วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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