Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City highs on August 2 will likely peak near 26–28°C, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters that limits extreme warmth even during the peak of the rainy season. Afternoon convective thunderstorms, common in August with typical humidity levels above 50 percent, can cap daytime maxima by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating tight clustering among the leading market outcomes. Subtle differences in steering winds, timing of precipitation onset, or model resolution of orographic lift over the surrounding mountains explain the near-even implied probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C. Updated short-range guidance expected from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional later today will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 2?
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 29%
25°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
30%
27°C
37%
28°C
29%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 29%
25°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$101 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$97 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$83 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$72 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$90 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$85 ปริมาณ
30%
27°C
$136 ปริมาณ
37%
28°C
$287 ปริมาณ
29%
29°C
$80 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C or higher
$107 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City highs on August 2 will likely peak near 26–28°C, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters that limits extreme warmth even during the peak of the rainy season. Afternoon convective thunderstorms, common in August with typical humidity levels above 50 percent, can cap daytime maxima by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating tight clustering among the leading market outcomes. Subtle differences in steering winds, timing of precipitation onset, or model resolution of orographic lift over the surrounding mountains explain the near-even implied probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C. Updated short-range guidance expected from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional later today will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,243วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City highs on August 2 will likely peak near 26–28°C, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters that limits extreme warmth even during the peak of the rainy season. Afternoon convective thunderstorms, common in August with typical humidity levels above 50 percent, can cap daytime maxima by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating tight clustering among the leading market outcomes. Subtle differences in steering winds, timing of precipitation onset, or model resolution of orographic lift over the surrounding mountains explain the near-even implied probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C. Updated short-range guidance expected from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional later today will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,243วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City highs on August 2 will likely peak near 26–28°C, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters that limits extreme warmth even during the peak of the rainy season. Afternoon convective thunderstorms, common in August with typical humidity levels above 50 percent, can cap daytime maxima by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating tight clustering among the leading market outcomes. Subtle differences in steering winds, timing of precipitation onset, or model resolution of orographic lift over the surrounding mountains explain the near-even implied probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C. Updated short-range guidance expected from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional later today will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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