**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 20?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 20?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,791 ปริมาณ
$34,791 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,791 ปริมาณ
$34,791 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
20°C or below
$1,973 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$5,035 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,689 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$2,264 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,063 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,380 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,092 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$5,912 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$2,807 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,449 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$1,128 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,791วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,791วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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