Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum near 24–25°C for August 2 under persistent cloud cover, showers, and an active southerly monsoon flow across the South China Sea. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, keeping the lowest temperature from dropping to 23°C or below while limiting daytime heating that could raise the minimum above 26°C. Recent model consensus aligns with seasonal outlooks for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet local atmospheric patterns favor the tighter 24–25°C cluster. Updated guidance on thunderstorm timing and wind shifts remains the key variable that could nudge the recorded minimum in either direction before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
24°C 47%
25°C 35%
23°C 17%
26°C 6%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
17%
24°C
47%
25°C
35%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 35%
23°C 17%
26°C 6%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
17%
24°C
47%
25°C
35%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily minimum near 24–25°C for August 2 under persistent cloud cover, showers, and an active southerly monsoon flow across the South China Sea. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, keeping the lowest temperature from dropping to 23°C or below while limiting daytime heating that could raise the minimum above 26°C. Recent model consensus aligns with seasonal outlooks for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet local atmospheric patterns favor the tighter 24–25°C cluster. Updated guidance on thunderstorm timing and wind shifts remains the key variable that could nudge the recorded minimum in either direction before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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