Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on May 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 4?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$137,337 ปริมาณ
$137,337 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$137,337 ปริมาณ
$137,337 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
16°C or below
$5,763 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$7,568 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$7,588 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$7,904 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$8,437 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$54,105 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$18,915 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$15,195 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,590 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,732 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$1,539 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137,337วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137,337วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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