Recent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy has sustained anomalous late-summer warmth, with official forecasts from multiple models projecting a maximum of 33 °C on September 6 under clear skies, light easterly flow, and strong daytime insolation. This pattern follows several days of 34 °C peaks, though a modest cooling trend and minor cloud increase appear in updated runs, keeping the distribution centered near 32–33 °C. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential for slight model divergence in peak timing or local urban heat effects. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements once the day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 6?
32°C 46%
31°C 30%
33°C 14%
34°C 10%
27°C or below
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
30%
32°C
46%
33°C
14%
34°C
10%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 46%
31°C 30%
33°C 14%
34°C 10%
27°C or below
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
30%
32°C
46%
33°C
14%
34°C
10%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy has sustained anomalous late-summer warmth, with official forecasts from multiple models projecting a maximum of 33 °C on September 6 under clear skies, light easterly flow, and strong daytime insolation. This pattern follows several days of 34 °C peaks, though a modest cooling trend and minor cloud increase appear in updated runs, keeping the distribution centered near 32–33 °C. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential for slight model divergence in peak timing or local urban heat effects. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements once the day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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