Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a high near 21°C (70°F) for Moscow on June 26, 2026, with passing showers and mostly cloudy skies moderating daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 20–21°C outcomes, which together exceed 60%. Typical late-June climatology features average highs of 22–23°C under clearer conditions, but current model consensus points to a trough or frontal influence bringing Atlantic moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered precipitation that limits solar heating and caps temperatures below seasonal norms. Shorter-range updates in the next 24–48 hours from agencies such as Roshydromet or ECMWF runs could shift odds if ridging strengthens or clears skies, while 24°C+ remains possible only under a stronger anticyclonic setup. Historical analogs show similar synoptic patterns frequently produce highs clustered around 20–22°C rather than extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on June 26?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,365 ปริมาณ
$35,365 ปริมาณ
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,365 ปริมาณ
$35,365 ปริมาณ
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a high near 21°C (70°F) for Moscow on June 26, 2026, with passing showers and mostly cloudy skies moderating daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 20–21°C outcomes, which together exceed 60%. Typical late-June climatology features average highs of 22–23°C under clearer conditions, but current model consensus points to a trough or frontal influence bringing Atlantic moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered precipitation that limits solar heating and caps temperatures below seasonal norms. Shorter-range updates in the next 24–48 hours from agencies such as Roshydromet or ECMWF runs could shift odds if ridging strengthens or clears skies, while 24°C+ remains possible only under a stronger anticyclonic setup. Historical analogs show similar synoptic patterns frequently produce highs clustered around 20–22°C rather than extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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