Short-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 20, driven by warm southerly flow and clear-sky conditions under a high-pressure ridge, positioning this as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show consensus around 31–33°C, well above the June climatological average of roughly 22°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in short-term guidance two days out. Recent model runs have stabilized without major downward revisions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh this against typical summer variability and resolution based on official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on June 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 20?
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$69,281 ปริมาณ
$69,281 ปริมาณ
Jun 20, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$69,281 ปริมาณ
$69,281 ปริมาณ
Jun 20, 2026
30°C or below
$9,283 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$12,263 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$14,819 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$13,499 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$8,625 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$5,701 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$1,469 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$508 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$333 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$760 ปริมาณ
No
40°C or higher
$2,022 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 20, driven by warm southerly flow and clear-sky conditions under a high-pressure ridge, positioning this as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show consensus around 31–33°C, well above the June climatological average of roughly 22°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in short-term guidance two days out. Recent model runs have stabilized without major downward revisions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh this against typical summer variability and resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,281วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 20, driven by warm southerly flow and clear-sky conditions under a high-pressure ridge, positioning this as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show consensus around 31–33°C, well above the June climatological average of roughly 22°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in short-term guidance two days out. Recent model runs have stabilized without major downward revisions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh this against typical summer variability and resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,281วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Short-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 20, driven by warm southerly flow and clear-sky conditions under a high-pressure ridge, positioning this as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show consensus around 31–33°C, well above the June climatological average of roughly 22°C, with limited spread reflecting high confidence in short-term guidance two days out. Recent model runs have stabilized without major downward revisions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh this against typical summer variability and resolution based on official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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