Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 11?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 ปริมาณ
$83,241 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 ปริมาณ
$83,241 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
9°C or below
$766 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$499 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$1,908 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$3,022 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$5,293 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$3,691 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$7,469 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$8,828 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$12,137 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$13,437 ปริมาณ
No
19°C or higher
$26,192 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$83,241วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$83,241วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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