National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on July 4 point to a mostly sunny day with a high near 89°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the historical average high of 88.6°F. This underpins the tight market clustering around 88–91°F, as short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, convective timing, and subtle differences in ridge strength versus any weak shortwave influence. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to insolation and downslope winds, while ENSO-neutral conditions and recent above-normal summer trends provide limited long-term bias. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on July 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 4?
88-89°F 48%
90-91°F 37%
86-87°F 11.0%
84-85°F 1.7%
ใหม่
$27,863 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$27,863 ปริมาณ
Jul 4, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
48%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 48%
90-91°F 37%
86-87°F 11.0%
84-85°F 1.7%
ใหม่
$27,863 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$27,863 ปริมาณ
Jul 4, 2026
79°F or below
$421 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$1,887 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$1,555 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$1,085 ปริมาณ
2%
86-87°F
$3,564 ปริมาณ
11%
88-89°F
$6,598 ปริมาณ
48%
90-91°F
$6,555 ปริมาณ
37%
92-93°F
$1,283 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$1,236 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$1,642 ปริมาณ
<1%
98°F or higher
$2,042 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on July 4 point to a mostly sunny day with a high near 89°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the historical average high of 88.6°F. This underpins the tight market clustering around 88–91°F, as short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, convective timing, and subtle differences in ridge strength versus any weak shortwave influence. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to insolation and downslope winds, while ENSO-neutral conditions and recent above-normal summer trends provide limited long-term bias. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,863วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on July 4 point to a mostly sunny day with a high near 89°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the historical average high of 88.6°F. This underpins the tight market clustering around 88–91°F, as short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, convective timing, and subtle differences in ridge strength versus any weak shortwave influence. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to insolation and downslope winds, while ENSO-neutral conditions and recent above-normal summer trends provide limited long-term bias. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,863วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on July 4 point to a mostly sunny day with a high near 89°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the historical average high of 88.6°F. This underpins the tight market clustering around 88–91°F, as short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, convective timing, and subtle differences in ridge strength versus any weak shortwave influence. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to insolation and downslope winds, while ENSO-neutral conditions and recent above-normal summer trends provide limited long-term bias. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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