Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$89,191 ปริมาณ
$89,191 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$89,191 ปริมาณ
$89,191 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
16°C or below
$2,437 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$938 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,392 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$5,127 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$7,779 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$7,805 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$13,751 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$11,861 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$12,988 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$12,889 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C or higher
$12,223 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,191วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,191วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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