Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on June 23?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,337 ปริมาณ
$71,337 ปริมาณ
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,337 ปริมาณ
$71,337 ปริมาณ
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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