Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on April 28?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 28?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$129,058 ปริมาณ
$129,058 ปริมาณ
Apr 28, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$129,058 ปริมาณ
$129,058 ปริมาณ
Apr 28, 2026
55°F or below
$6,897 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$4,486 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$7,340 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$7,953 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$30,562 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$22,101 ปริมาณ
Yes
66-67°F
$16,126 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$16,110 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$6,464 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$4,186 ปริมาณ
No
74°F or higher
$6,834 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$129,058วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$129,058วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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