Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on April 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 29?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 ปริมาณ
$202,558 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 ปริมาณ
$202,558 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
53°F or below
$11,704 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$19,165 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$11,268 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$54,874 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$33,495 ปริมาณ
Yes
62-63°F
$19,029 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$21,591 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$9,039 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$6,904 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$6,730 ปริมาณ
No
72°F or higher
$8,758 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$202,558วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$202,558วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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