Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a highest temperature in Beijing on July 7 near 31–33°C, driven by typical early-July monsoon influences and expected afternoon convection that reduces peak insolation. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or more widespread rain and cloud cover would cap readings at 32°C or below by limiting daytime heating, while delayed or scattered activity under partly clear skies could allow brief periods of stronger solar radiation to reach 34°C. This aligns with climatological averages around 31°C and recent short-range guidance showing modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to the central outcomes because model spreads remain narrow just 48 hours out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations of the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on July 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 7?
33°C 34%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 7, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
34%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 34%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 7, 2026
28°C or below
$53 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$129 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$46 ปริมาณ
9%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
32°C
$96 ปริมาณ
27%
33°C
$40 ปริมาณ
34%
34°C
$135 ปริมาณ
14%
35°C
$421 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$233 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$21 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$205 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a highest temperature in Beijing on July 7 near 31–33°C, driven by typical early-July monsoon influences and expected afternoon convection that reduces peak insolation. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or more widespread rain and cloud cover would cap readings at 32°C or below by limiting daytime heating, while delayed or scattered activity under partly clear skies could allow brief periods of stronger solar radiation to reach 34°C. This aligns with climatological averages around 31°C and recent short-range guidance showing modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to the central outcomes because model spreads remain narrow just 48 hours out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,378วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a highest temperature in Beijing on July 7 near 31–33°C, driven by typical early-July monsoon influences and expected afternoon convection that reduces peak insolation. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or more widespread rain and cloud cover would cap readings at 32°C or below by limiting daytime heating, while delayed or scattered activity under partly clear skies could allow brief periods of stronger solar radiation to reach 34°C. This aligns with climatological averages around 31°C and recent short-range guidance showing modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to the central outcomes because model spreads remain narrow just 48 hours out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,378วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a highest temperature in Beijing on July 7 near 31–33°C, driven by typical early-July monsoon influences and expected afternoon convection that reduces peak insolation. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or more widespread rain and cloud cover would cap readings at 32°C or below by limiting daytime heating, while delayed or scattered activity under partly clear skies could allow brief periods of stronger solar radiation to reach 34°C. This aligns with climatological averages around 31°C and recent short-range guidance showing modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to the central outcomes because model spreads remain narrow just 48 hours out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations of the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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