Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on April 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$244,084 ปริมาณ
$244,084 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$244,084 ปริมาณ
$244,084 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
$46,749 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$83,766 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$42,086 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$21,177 ปริมาณ
Yes
62-63°F
$17,579 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$12,106 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$8,425 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$4,523 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$2,887 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$1,838 ปริมาณ
No
74°F or higher
$2,949 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$244,084วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$244,084วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย