Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on April 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 20?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,020 ปริมาณ
$25,020 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,020 ปริมาณ
$25,020 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
21°C or below
$698 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$760 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$708 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$745 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,595 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,855 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,197 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,251 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,762 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$4,684 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$4,766 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,020วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,020วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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