Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$79,974 ปริมาณ
$79,974 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$79,974 ปริมาณ
$79,974 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
51°F or below
$1,584 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$2,544 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$3,872 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$1,230 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$2,656 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$4,636 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$5,067 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$5,851 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$6,398 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$32,141 ปริมาณ
No
70°F or higher
$13,995 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,974วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,974วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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