Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on April 27, backed by official Automated Surface Observing System data from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F mid-afternoon amid persistent westerly winds of 10-25 mph gusting to 33 mph and a stubborn marine layer advecting cool Pacific air. This aligns with the city's coastal microclimate, where onshore flow suppresses daytime heating below the late-April climatological average of 66°F, as seen in recent days' 58-61°F highs. National Weather Service summaries confirm a 63°F maximum with hazy conditions and no precipitation. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-verification revision by Weather Underground, the resolution source, could shift it, pending final dataset lock.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 27?
62-63°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$52,043 ปริมาณ
$52,043 ปริมาณ
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$52,043 ปริมาณ
$52,043 ปริมาณ
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 25, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on April 27, backed by official Automated Surface Observing System data from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F mid-afternoon amid persistent westerly winds of 10-25 mph gusting to 33 mph and a stubborn marine layer advecting cool Pacific air. This aligns with the city's coastal microclimate, where onshore flow suppresses daytime heating below the late-April climatological average of 66°F, as seen in recent days' 58-61°F highs. National Weather Service summaries confirm a 63°F maximum with hazy conditions and no precipitation. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-verification revision by Weather Underground, the resolution source, could shift it, pending final dataset lock.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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