Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 6?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 ปริมาณ
$45,525 ปริมาณ
Jun 6, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 ปริมาณ
$45,525 ปริมาณ
Jun 6, 2026
15°C or below
$171 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$4,926 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$818 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$3,868 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,553 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,859 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,447 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,778 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$8,813 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$7,194 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$6,098 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,525วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,525วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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