**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on July 28?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 28?
78-79°F 100%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$11,613 ปริมาณ
$11,613 ปริมาณ
Jul 28, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$11,613 ปริมาณ
$11,613 ปริมาณ
Jul 28, 2026
69°F or below
$233 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$322 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$549 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$635 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$1,073 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$2,518 ปริมาณ
Yes
80-81°F
$3,853 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$818 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$714 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$683 ปริมาณ
No
88°F or higher
$215 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,613วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,613วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย