**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC currently point to a minimum of around 18°C for London on July 29 under high pressure and southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 32–33°C.** This setup favors clear skies that enhance overnight radiative cooling, though urban heat-island effects at official stations can moderate the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds, particularly around the 15–19°C bins, as small shifts in nocturnal cooling rates could easily move the minimum across those thresholds. Historical July minima in London average near 16°C, so the current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for cooler outcomes if models trend drier or clearer. Traders are watching the next 48-hour model updates and any late adjustments to cloud cover for resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on July 29?
Lowest temperature in London on July 29?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$23,573 ปริมาณ
$23,573 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$23,573 ปริมาณ
$23,573 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
15°C or below
$745 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,116 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$978 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,321 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$4,747 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$6,275 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$2,359 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,201 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$509 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$541 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$780 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC currently point to a minimum of around 18°C for London on July 29 under high pressure and southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 32–33°C.** This setup favors clear skies that enhance overnight radiative cooling, though urban heat-island effects at official stations can moderate the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds, particularly around the 15–19°C bins, as small shifts in nocturnal cooling rates could easily move the minimum across those thresholds. Historical July minima in London average near 16°C, so the current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for cooler outcomes if models trend drier or clearer. Traders are watching the next 48-hour model updates and any late adjustments to cloud cover for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,573วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC currently point to a minimum of around 18°C for London on July 29 under high pressure and southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 32–33°C.** This setup favors clear skies that enhance overnight radiative cooling, though urban heat-island effects at official stations can moderate the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds, particularly around the 15–19°C bins, as small shifts in nocturnal cooling rates could easily move the minimum across those thresholds. Historical July minima in London average near 16°C, so the current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for cooler outcomes if models trend drier or clearer. Traders are watching the next 48-hour model updates and any late adjustments to cloud cover for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,573วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC currently point to a minimum of around 18°C for London on July 29 under high pressure and southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 32–33°C.** This setup favors clear skies that enhance overnight radiative cooling, though urban heat-island effects at official stations can moderate the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds, particularly around the 15–19°C bins, as small shifts in nocturnal cooling rates could easily move the minimum across those thresholds. Historical July minima in London average near 16°C, so the current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for cooler outcomes if models trend drier or clearer. Traders are watching the next 48-hour model updates and any late adjustments to cloud cover for resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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