Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 6?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$38,071 ปริมาณ
$38,071 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$38,071 ปริมาณ
$38,071 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
24°C or below
$1,608 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,496 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,285 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,169 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$6,205 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$6,163 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$4,465 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$4,803 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$2,519 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$1,158 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$3,199 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,071วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,071วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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