The near-certain 99.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73 °F high on June 17 reflect official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source, which recorded that exact peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Recent model guidance and surface analyses confirmed a modest marine influence moderating temperatures below the broader Pacific Northwest heat anomaly, keeping readings near the long-term June average rather than the upper-80s values initially projected earlier in the month. Minor probability remains on adjacent bins only because of potential station calibration differences or rounding conventions, yet post-event verification has left virtually no realistic pathway for those outcomes to resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on June 17?
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$144,022 ปริมาณ
$144,022 ปริมาณ
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$144,022 ปริมาณ
$144,022 ปริมาณ
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The near-certain 99.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73 °F high on June 17 reflect official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source, which recorded that exact peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Recent model guidance and surface analyses confirmed a modest marine influence moderating temperatures below the broader Pacific Northwest heat anomaly, keeping readings near the long-term June average rather than the upper-80s values initially projected earlier in the month. Minor probability remains on adjacent bins only because of potential station calibration differences or rounding conventions, yet post-event verification has left virtually no realistic pathway for those outcomes to resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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