Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official monitoring station confirms the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, peaked at exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. Preceding short-term KMA forecasts and global models like ECMWF projected mild daytime highs around 18-19°C amid a cool air mass, northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that suppressed solar heating on this Children's Day. Typical early-May highs in Seoul average 20-22°C, but current atmospheric conditions aligned with the cooler outcome. Scenarios challenging this include rare KMA data revisions from equipment recalibration or overlooked hourly observations exceeding 18°C, though official records carry authoritative weight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on May 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 5?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$271,229 ปริมาณ
$271,229 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$271,229 ปริมาณ
$271,229 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
10°C or below
$3,137 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$2,424 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$4,545 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$7,903 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$19,439 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$21,874 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$28,275 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$36,447 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$57,447 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$32,498 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$57,240 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official monitoring station confirms the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, peaked at exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. Preceding short-term KMA forecasts and global models like ECMWF projected mild daytime highs around 18-19°C amid a cool air mass, northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that suppressed solar heating on this Children's Day. Typical early-May highs in Seoul average 20-22°C, but current atmospheric conditions aligned with the cooler outcome. Scenarios challenging this include rare KMA data revisions from equipment recalibration or overlooked hourly observations exceeding 18°C, though official records carry authoritative weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$271,229วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official monitoring station confirms the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, peaked at exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. Preceding short-term KMA forecasts and global models like ECMWF projected mild daytime highs around 18-19°C amid a cool air mass, northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that suppressed solar heating on this Children's Day. Typical early-May highs in Seoul average 20-22°C, but current atmospheric conditions aligned with the cooler outcome. Scenarios challenging this include rare KMA data revisions from equipment recalibration or overlooked hourly observations exceeding 18°C, though official records carry authoritative weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$271,229วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official monitoring station confirms the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, peaked at exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. Preceding short-term KMA forecasts and global models like ECMWF projected mild daytime highs around 18-19°C amid a cool air mass, northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that suppressed solar heating on this Children's Day. Typical early-May highs in Seoul average 20-22°C, but current atmospheric conditions aligned with the cooler outcome. Scenarios challenging this include rare KMA data revisions from equipment recalibration or overlooked hourly observations exceeding 18°C, though official records carry authoritative weight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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