Official observations from Shanghai's Xujiahui observatory—the authoritative station for citywide meteorological records—confirm a daytime high temperature of 21°C on April 18, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 50-70%. This measurement, taken during peak afternoon hours, aligns with forecast model consensus from earlier in the day predicting mid-20s potential but capped by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, consistent with mid-April climatological norms averaging 19-20°C highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, as evening cooling reduces chances of exceeding 21°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-day heat burst or post hoc data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, both highly improbable given standard observation protocols. Market resolution awaits final daily report.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 18?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$316,000 ปริมาณ
$316,000 ปริมาณ
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$316,000 ปริมาณ
$316,000 ปริมาณ
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Shanghai's Xujiahui observatory—the authoritative station for citywide meteorological records—confirm a daytime high temperature of 21°C on April 18, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 50-70%. This measurement, taken during peak afternoon hours, aligns with forecast model consensus from earlier in the day predicting mid-20s potential but capped by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, consistent with mid-April climatological norms averaging 19-20°C highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, as evening cooling reduces chances of exceeding 21°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-day heat burst or post hoc data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, both highly improbable given standard observation protocols. Market resolution awaits final daily report.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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