Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$275,944 ปริมาณ
$275,944 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$275,944 ปริมาณ
$275,944 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
25°C or below
$18,367 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$16,771 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$18,032 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$56,280 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$43,282 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$24,511 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$20,946 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$32,042 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$19,465 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$14,396 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$11,853 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$275,944วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$275,944วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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