Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport today, with 100% implied probability, driven by official METAR observations peaking at 28-29°C midday amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and aligned global models like ECMWF project a maximum of 29°C, consistent with late-April subtropical climatology where airport highs average 27°C but occasionally reach 29°C under moderate solar heating. Persistent cloud cover has suppressed further intensification, as seen in hourly data from 10:00-14:00 local time. As evening cooling sets in after sunset around 19:00, a late heat burst from clearing skies or minor measurement revision remains the only realistic challenge, though highly improbable given current trajectories and historical patterns. Updated CMA bulletins expected overnight will finalize observations for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 27?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,353 ปริมาณ
$73,353 ปริมาณ
Apr 27, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,353 ปริมาณ
$73,353 ปริมาณ
Apr 27, 2026
21°C or below
$1,881 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,146 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,585 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$3,136 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,489 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,418 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$9,811 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$14,361 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$14,626 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$11,653 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$8,244 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport today, with 100% implied probability, driven by official METAR observations peaking at 28-29°C midday amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and aligned global models like ECMWF project a maximum of 29°C, consistent with late-April subtropical climatology where airport highs average 27°C but occasionally reach 29°C under moderate solar heating. Persistent cloud cover has suppressed further intensification, as seen in hourly data from 10:00-14:00 local time. As evening cooling sets in after sunset around 19:00, a late heat burst from clearing skies or minor measurement revision remains the only realistic challenge, though highly improbable given current trajectories and historical patterns. Updated CMA bulletins expected overnight will finalize observations for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 25, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,353วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 25, 2026, 12:52 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport today, with 100% implied probability, driven by official METAR observations peaking at 28-29°C midday amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and aligned global models like ECMWF project a maximum of 29°C, consistent with late-April subtropical climatology where airport highs average 27°C but occasionally reach 29°C under moderate solar heating. Persistent cloud cover has suppressed further intensification, as seen in hourly data from 10:00-14:00 local time. As evening cooling sets in after sunset around 19:00, a late heat burst from clearing skies or minor measurement revision remains the only realistic challenge, though highly improbable given current trajectories and historical patterns. Updated CMA bulletins expected overnight will finalize observations for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,353วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 25, 2026, 12:52 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport today, with 100% implied probability, driven by official METAR observations peaking at 28-29°C midday amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and aligned global models like ECMWF project a maximum of 29°C, consistent with late-April subtropical climatology where airport highs average 27°C but occasionally reach 29°C under moderate solar heating. Persistent cloud cover has suppressed further intensification, as seen in hourly data from 10:00-14:00 local time. As evening cooling sets in after sunset around 19:00, a late heat burst from clearing skies or minor measurement revision remains the only realistic challenge, though highly improbable given current trajectories and historical patterns. Updated CMA bulletins expected overnight will finalize observations for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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