Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 29?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$102,827 ปริมาณ
$102,827 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$102,827 ปริมาณ
$102,827 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
20°C or below
$1,061 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,616 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,409 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$2,743 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,544 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,834 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$6,099 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$34,056 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$20,360 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$22,611 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$8,493 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,827วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,827วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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