Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 11?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$82,807 ปริมาณ
$82,807 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$82,807 ปริมาณ
$82,807 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
$4,633 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$4,647 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$4,544 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$5,675 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$8,424 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$11,494 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$15,888 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$11,204 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$7,288 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$4,554 ปริมาณ
No
39°C or higher
$4,456 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,807วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,807วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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