Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models have converged on a daily maximum near 28°C for Tokyo on June 17, driven by stable subtropical high pressure and modest warm advection with limited boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced sea-breeze cooling. The market's near-certain positioning on 28°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. Only a late-day increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically cap the high below this level before official verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$108,220 ปริมาณ
$108,220 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$108,220 ปริมาณ
$108,220 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
20°C or below
$4,243 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,150 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,451 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$5,292 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,708 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$15,307 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$16,972 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$19,428 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$14,931 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$11,956 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$8,784 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models have converged on a daily maximum near 28°C for Tokyo on June 17, driven by stable subtropical high pressure and modest warm advection with limited boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced sea-breeze cooling. The market's near-certain positioning on 28°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. Only a late-day increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically cap the high below this level before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108,220วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models have converged on a daily maximum near 28°C for Tokyo on June 17, driven by stable subtropical high pressure and modest warm advection with limited boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced sea-breeze cooling. The market's near-certain positioning on 28°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. Only a late-day increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically cap the high below this level before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$108,220วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models have converged on a daily maximum near 28°C for Tokyo on June 17, driven by stable subtropical high pressure and modest warm advection with limited boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong frontal systems or enhanced sea-breeze cooling. The market's near-certain positioning on 28°C reflects this tight model consensus and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. Only a late-day increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically cap the high below this level before official verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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