Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 8?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 ปริมาณ
$125,174 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 ปริมาณ
$125,174 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
18°C or below
$2,782 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,790 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$28,753 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$14,182 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$26,141 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$26,500 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$9,723 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$4,432 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,572 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,684 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$3,615 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125,174วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125,174วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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